Sliema Wanderers 0-4 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.64/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.36
+10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2025 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 4-0 HT 1-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MALTP
07.11.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-3 HT 0-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
17.12.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-4 HT 0-2 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
0-4
AWAY Naxxar Lions
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions ran out comfortable winners over Sliema Wanderers 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

This one beat our numbers. Sliema Wanderers carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 62% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 38%, shots finished 20-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sliema Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 0.33 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Naxxar Lions?

Sliema Wanderers 0-4 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 57%, draw 23%, Naxxar Lions 20%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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