Sliema Wanderers 4-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.28
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.44
No
63%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
74%
-2.5pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.0pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.1pp
63%
BTTS No
63%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.11.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-3 HT 0-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
17.12.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-4 HT 0-2 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
4-0
AWAY Naxxar Lions
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers swept aside Naxxar Lions 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sliema Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 55% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 45%, shots finished 8-2.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sliema Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 0.50 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Naxxar Lions?

Sliema Wanderers 4-0 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 72%, draw 18%, Naxxar Lions 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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