Balzan FC 3-2 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balzan FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mosta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2024 Mosta Mosta 2-2 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
07.01.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
10.04.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-3 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
13.11.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
29.01.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-3 HT 2-2 Mosta Mosta MLTP
26.09.2021 Mosta Mosta 2-1 HT 1-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balzan FC
3-2
AWAY Mosta
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Balzan FC vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Balzan FC nicked a narrow win over Mosta 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Balzan FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Balzan FC had 51% of the ball to Mosta's 49%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mosta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Balzan FC and 1.83 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Balzan FC vs Mosta?

Balzan FC 3-2 Mosta in the MALTP on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balzan FC vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Balzan FC 36%, draw 31%, Mosta 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Balzan FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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