Porto II 2-1 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -23%
1.14/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.38
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 12.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
14.12.2015 Porto II Porto II 4-0 HT 2-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
02.05.2015 Porto II Porto II 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
27.04.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 3-3 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
08.12.2013 Porto II Porto II 2-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
2-1
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.59 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
269 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II edged past Sporting CP II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Porto II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Porto II had 45% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 55%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.59 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Porto II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Porto II and 1.25 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Sporting CP II?

Porto II 2-1 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Porto II 34%, draw 28%, Sporting CP II 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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