Chaves vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Maritimo
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR
Chaves 2-3 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo nicked a narrow win over Chaves 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Maritimo made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Chaves had 33% of the ball to Maritimo's 67%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chaves and 1.00 for Maritimo.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Maritimo?
Chaves 2-3 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Maritimo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chaves 37%, draw 27%, Maritimo 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5 went the other way.