UD Oliveirense 3-4 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.07
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.2 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CD Feirense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 276
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-1 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
29.09.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
20.01.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-0 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
15.08.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-1 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
11.03.2023 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
26.11.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense PORLC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
3-4
AWAY CD Feirense
2.67 xG 1.93
65% Ball Possession 35%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
194 Passes 92
76% Pass Accuracy 55%
6 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense nicked a narrow win over UD Oliveirense 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Feirense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 65% of the ball to CD Feirense's 35%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 2.67 to 1.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured UD Oliveirense.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UD Oliveirense and 0.83 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs CD Feirense?

UD Oliveirense 3-4 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 28%, draw 29%, CD Feirense 43%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Feirense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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