Izarra 2-0 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.36
Over
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
40%
4-5
14%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.12/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.50
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Barbastro
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
01.10.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 2-3 HT 0-2 Izarra Izarra İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
2-0
AWAY Barbastro
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Izarra vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Izarra beat Barbastro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 36% / 26%) promised a tight game; Izarra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Izarra had 47% of the ball to Barbastro's 53%, shots finished 6-4.

What was the final score of Izarra vs Barbastro?

Izarra 2-0 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Izarra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Izarra 38%, draw 36%, Barbastro 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Izarra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Izarra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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