Basel vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basel v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals
Basel vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
St. Gallen
İSV
2-1
HT 1-1
Basel
İSV
6-1
HT 3-0
Basel
İSV
1-1
HT 0-0
St. Gallen
İSV
1-2
HT 1-0
Basel
İSVK
1-1
HT 1-1
Basel
İSV
Basel 1-0 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics
Basel nicked a narrow win over St. Gallen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Basel made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Basel had 46% of the ball to St. Gallen's 54%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.95 to 1.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured St. Gallen.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Basel and 1.83 for St. Gallen.
What was the final score of Basel vs St. Gallen?
Basel 1-0 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basel vs St. Gallen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Basel 37%, draw 27%, St. Gallen 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.