Winterthur vs Luzern Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Winterthur v Luzern — Team-Based Signals
Winterthur vs Luzern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Winterthur
İSV
0-0
HT 0-0
Luzern
İSV
3-1
HT 1-1
Winterthur
İSV
1-2
HT 0-1
Luzern
İSV
1-1
HT 0-1
Winterthur
İSV
0-6
HT 0-4
Luzern
İSV
Winterthur 2-1 Luzern — Actual Match Statistics
Winterthur edged past Luzern 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Winterthur made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Winterthur had 58% of the ball to Luzern's 42%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.60 to 1.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Luzern.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Winterthur and 2.50 for Luzern.
What was the final score of Winterthur vs Luzern?
Winterthur 2-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Luzern?
Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 33%, draw 29%, Luzern 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern) went the other way.