Yverdon 2-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.42
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 24% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.64
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
9%
8.9
X/2
23%
4.03
X/X
9%
5.25
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
14%
2.22
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 54%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.66/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.10
+41% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
16.0 Crosses 23.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Servette
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
222 Passes 371
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Servette Servette 1-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
26.08.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 4-1 HT 1-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
2-1
AWAY Servette
0.51 xG 1.08
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
384 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon nicked a narrow win over Servette 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Servette at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Yverdon had 58% of the ball to Servette's 42%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.51 to 1.08 — on chances, Servette could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yverdon and 1.00 for Servette.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Servette?

Yverdon 2-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated an Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 33%, draw 23%, Servette 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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