Karabağ 3-3 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

Karabağ
3-3 HT 1-1
Sabah
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Karabağ vs Sabah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
32%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
25%
+22.0pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
32%
Away Win
50%
-17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karabağ v Sabah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karabağ EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Karabağ vs Sabah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karabağ
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sabah
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.02.2024 Karabağ Karabağ 3-4 HT 1-2 Sabah Sabah AZERK
30.01.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-7 HT 0-3 Karabağ Karabağ AZERK
24.11.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-2 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
17.09.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
16.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 2-1 HT 0-0 Karabağ Karabağ AZERS
11.02.2023 Karabağ Karabağ 1-1 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Karabağ vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karabağ and Sabah shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Karabağ and 1.50 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Karabağ vs Sabah?

Karabağ 3-3 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karabağ vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 47%, draw 21%, Sabah 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karabağ) ✗ BTTS No
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