Bağlar Belediyespor 1-4 Yenişehir Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
39%
4-5
29%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Bağlar Belediyespor win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
63%
Home Win
75%
-12.5pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.0pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bağlar Belediyespor The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenişehir Belediyespor The Market 12%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+40% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -62%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
458 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bağlar Belediyespor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yenişehir Belediyespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.10.2023 Yenişehir Belediyespor Yenişehir Belediyespor 0-1 Bağlar Belediyespor Bağlar Belediyespor BAL
POST-MATCH Bağlar Belediyespor vs Yenişehir Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenişehir Belediyespor cruised past Bağlar Belediyespor 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Bağlar Belediyespor carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Bağlar Belediyespor vs Yenişehir Belediyespor?

Bağlar Belediyespor 1-4 Yenişehir Belediyespor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bağlar Belediyespor vs Yenişehir Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bağlar Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bağlar Belediyespor 63%, draw 18%, Yenişehir Belediyespor 19%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bağlar Belediyespor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bağlar Belediyespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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