11/02/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
Develigücü vs Malatyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
44%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
43%
Home Win
52%
34%
Draw
24%
23%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Develigücü v Malatyaspor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Develigücü
The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Malatyaspor
The Market 28%
+29% /
+29%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-44% /
-44%
6.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+41%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
381 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Develigücü vs Malatyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Develigücü and Malatyaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Develigücü at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Develigücü vs Malatyaspor?
Develigücü 1-1 Malatyaspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Develigücü vs Malatyaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Develigücü win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Develigücü 43%, draw 34%, Malatyaspor 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Develigücü), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Develigücü)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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BAL
More Turkey - Regional Amateur League
11 Feb 2024