Yunusemrespor 0-4 Alaplı Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No Pick
56%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
37%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunusemrespor The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaplı Belediyespor The Market 23%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +74% / +74%
2.03/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+27% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Yunusemrespor vs Alaplı Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alaplı Belediyespor swept aside Yunusemrespor 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Yunusemrespor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Yunusemrespor vs Alaplı Belediyespor?

Yunusemrespor 0-4 Alaplı Belediyespor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunusemrespor vs Alaplı Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunusemrespor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yunusemrespor 44%, draw 28%, Alaplı Belediyespor 28%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Yunusemrespor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yunusemrespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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