Liverpool U21 3-1 Stoke City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.86
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
19%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.32
No
39%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
50%
+16.9pp
15%
Draw
21%
-6.0pp
19%
Away Win
30%
-10.8pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.4pp
39%
BTTS No
28%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool U21
3-1
AWAY Stoke City U21
1.66 xG 0.72
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
461 Passes 202
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool U21 vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool U21 saw off Stoke City U21 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool U21 as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool U21 had 65% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 35%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.66 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Liverpool U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Liverpool U21 3-1 Stoke City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Liverpool U21 67%, draw 15%, Stoke City U21 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPL2-1 More England - Premier League 2 (League 1)
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