Manchester City U21 3-3 Wolverhampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
3.14
Over 2.5
50%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.32
No
53%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+6.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
28%
+22.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
72%
-22.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
72%
-24.3pp
53%
BTTS No
28%
+24.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton U21 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U21
3-3
AWAY Wolverhampton U21
4.12 xG 2.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
537 Passes 369
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 and Wolverhampton U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester City U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Manchester City U21 had 58% of the ball to Wolverhampton U21's 42%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 4.12 to 2.37.

What was the final score of Manchester City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

Manchester City U21 3-3 Wolverhampton U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U21 49%, draw 21%, Wolverhampton U21 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✗ BTTS No
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