Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.1
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
9%
5.8
X/2
12%
5.07
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
17%
3.4
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.25/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.14
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
20.8 Crosses 19.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 1.61
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
231 Passes 480
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
05.02.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
24.07.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
07.05.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
21.11.2021 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
28.02.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 2-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
0-1
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.90 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
391 Passes 342
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Szczecin squeezed past Slask Wroclaw 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Pogon Szczecin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 53% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 47%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.90 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slask Wroclaw had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 0.83 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin?

Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 34%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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