Widzew Lodz 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 11 Feb 2024

Widzew Lodz
1-3 HT 1-2
Jagiellonia Bialystok
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.86
Over 2.5
59%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
27%
3.52
6+ Goals
13%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.71
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
8%
5.5
X/2
10%
5.41
X/X
10%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
29.0
2/2
15%
3.63
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 11% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.44/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.56
-5% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
28.8 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4

Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.08.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
03.02.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
22.07.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-2 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.05.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
13.12.2013 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
31.08.2013 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL

Widzew Lodz 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-3
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
0.97 xG 2.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 6
351 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 33
35 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok beat Widzew Lodz 3-1 away from home in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11 Feb 2024. Half-time: 1-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 53% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 47%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.97 to 2.05.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.00 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Widzew Lodz 1-3 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 42%, draw 23%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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