Warta Poznan 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 11 Feb 2024

Warta Poznan
2-1 HT 2-1
Rakow Czestochowa
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Warta Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
8.42
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
17.45
X/1
9%
9.62
X/2
11%
3.58
X/X
5%
4.48
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
36%
2.17
2/X
8%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.7pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
53%
Away Win
56%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Warta Poznan v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 60%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.81/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.83
-48% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
16.0 Crosses 21.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Warta Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.85 xG 1.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 353
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
28.01.2023 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-1 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
15.07.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
02.04.2022 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
03.10.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 2-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
20.04.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL

Warta Poznan 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
2-1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.39 xG 2.46
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
145 Passes 452
60% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 40
5 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Warta Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Warta Poznan edged past Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11 Feb 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 30% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 70%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.39 to 2.46.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Warta Poznan and 1.83 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Warta Poznan 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 27%, draw 20%, Rakow Czestochowa 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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