1461 Trabzon FK 3-1 Diyarbekir Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.71
Over 2.5
35%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.8pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.87/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.74
+3% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +123%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2023 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor 0-1 HT 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-B
18.09.2022 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor 1-2 HT 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-K
06.10.2021 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor 0-1 HT 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1461 Trabzon FK
3-1
AWAY Diyarbekir Spor
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH 1461 Trabzon FK vs Diyarbekir Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1461 Trabzon FK got the better of Diyarbekir Spor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had 1461 Trabzon FK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, 1461 Trabzon FK had 41% of the ball to Diyarbekir Spor's 59%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, 1461 Trabzon FK had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for 1461 Trabzon FK and 0.33 for Diyarbekir Spor.

What was the final score of 1461 Trabzon FK vs Diyarbekir Spor?

1461 Trabzon FK 3-1 Diyarbekir Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1461 Trabzon FK vs Diyarbekir Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1461 Trabzon FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split 1461 Trabzon FK 48%, draw 28%, Diyarbekir Spor 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1461 Trabzon FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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