Serik Belediyespor 3-2 Ankaraspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ankaraspor EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.48/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.36
-61% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Serik Belediyespor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ankaraspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Ankaraspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Serik Belediyespor S2-B
27.02.2022 Serik Belediyespor 2-2 HT 0-2 Ankaraspor S2-K
23.10.2021 Ankaraspor 3-2 HT 2-1 Serik Belediyespor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Serik Belediyespor
3-2
AWAY Ankaraspor
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Serik Belediyespor vs Ankaraspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor nicked a narrow win over Ankaraspor 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Serik Belediyespor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Serik Belediyespor had 42% of the ball to Ankaraspor's 58%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ankaraspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Serik Belediyespor and 2.33 for Ankaraspor.

What was the final score of Serik Belediyespor vs Ankaraspor?

Serik Belediyespor 3-2 Ankaraspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Belediyespor vs Ankaraspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ankaraspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Serik Belediyespor 34%, draw 28%, Ankaraspor 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ankaraspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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