Adıyaman FK 1-1 Nazilli Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adıyaman FK EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.01/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.93
-14% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adıyaman FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.10.2023 Nazilli Belediyespor Nazilli Belediyespor 3-0 HT 2-0 Adıyaman FK Adıyaman FK S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adıyaman FK
1-1
AWAY Nazilli Belediyespor
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Adıyaman FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adıyaman FK and Nazilli Belediyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Adıyaman FK had 51% of the ball to Nazilli Belediyespor's 49%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Adıyaman FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Adıyaman FK 1-1 Nazilli Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adıyaman FK vs Nazilli Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nazilli Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Adıyaman FK 32%, draw 30%, Nazilli Belediyespor 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nazilli Belediyespor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nazilli Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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