Adanaspor 2-1 Tuzlaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
12%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.31
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.81
X/2
13%
6.13
X/X
11%
3.86
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
13%
4.68
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuzlaspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.59/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.34
+35% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.1 Crosses 13.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tuzlaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
305 Passes 315
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Tuzlaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
15.01.2023 Tuzlaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
15.08.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Tuzlaspor T1L
25.04.2022 Tuzlaspor 4-1 HT 2-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
04.12.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
01.03.2021 Tuzlaspor 3-2 HT 0-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
2-1
AWAY Tuzlaspor
1.09 xG 0.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
285 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Tuzlaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adanaspor squeezed past Tuzlaspor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adanaspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adanaspor had 46% of the ball to Tuzlaspor's 54%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.09 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tuzlaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Adanaspor and 1.83 for Tuzlaspor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Tuzlaspor?

Adanaspor 2-1 Tuzlaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Tuzlaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adanaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 42%, draw 26%, Tuzlaspor 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adanaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adanaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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