Boluspor 1-1 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.3
6+ Goals
7%
22.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.99
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
8%
7.43
X/2
21%
4.21
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.7
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.29/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.52
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.1 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.74 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
07.02.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
12.09.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
31.01.2010 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-2 HT 1-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
05.09.2009 Boluspor Boluspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.03.2008 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-1
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.49 xG 0.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
321 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor and Kocaelispor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kocaelispor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boluspor had 47% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 53%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.49 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Boluspor and 1.17 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Kocaelispor?

Boluspor 1-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 29%, draw 29%, Kocaelispor 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kocaelispor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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