Bandırmaspor 0-2 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
24%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.35
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.1
X/2
9%
6.02
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
8%
4.24
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+6.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
32%
-8.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +14%
1.24/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.20
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.7 Crosses 12.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Göztepe
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 268
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 1-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
27.01.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 3-1 HT 2-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
28.08.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
18.04.2017 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
19.11.2016 Göztepe Göztepe 3-3 HT 2-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
01.03.2015 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
0-2
AWAY Göztepe
0.44 xG 2.03
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
287 Passes 153
69% Pass Accuracy 59%
16 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe got the better of Bandırmaspor 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 61% of the ball to Göztepe's 39%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.44 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.50 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Göztepe?

Bandırmaspor 0-2 Göztepe in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 46%, draw 30%, Göztepe 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bandırmaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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