Lamia 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.2
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.54
X/2
14%
6.14
X/X
14%
3.9
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.88
2/X
5%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.18/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.96
+14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.6 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.70 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
288 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
29.04.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
04.01.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 3-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
03.09.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
02.05.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
23.02.2022 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
2-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.02 xG 2.77
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
364 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lamia vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamia squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lamia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lamia had 62% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 38%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.02 to 2.77 — on chances, Asteras Tripolis could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lamia and 0.83 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Lamia vs Asteras Tripolis?

Lamia 2-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lamia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lamia 40%, draw 27%, Asteras Tripolis 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lamia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lamia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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