Panserraikos 0-3 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.07
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1
8%
10.4
X/2
17%
3.53
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
29%
2.05
2/X
8%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 62%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
0.91/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.67
+19% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
214 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
21.0 Crosses 16.1
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.69 xG 2.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
274 Passes 550
80% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 42
5 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-0 HT 3-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
03.04.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.12.2010 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
12.04.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.03.2009 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-3 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
04.02.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
0-3
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.33 xG 1.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
253 Passes 341
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos ran out comfortable winners over Panserraikos 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Panserraikos had 45% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 55%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.33 to 1.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Panserraikos and 1.50 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Panathinaikos?

Panserraikos 0-3 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 20%, draw 25%, Panathinaikos 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
11 Feb 2024
17:00 Kifisia vs Volos NFC Analysis →
20:30 Lamia vs Asteras Tripolis Analysis →
21:00 PAOK vs AEK Atina Analysis →