El Bayadh 1-0 ES Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.77
2-3 Goals
35%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
7.12
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-1.7pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Setif EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.19/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.24
+2% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
3W-0D-2L
AWAY ES Setif
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
15.02.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 3-0 HT 2-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
23.09.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 2-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
07.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-2 HT 1-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
07.12.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs ES Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Bayadh nicked a narrow win over ES Setif 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; El Bayadh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, El Bayadh had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for El Bayadh and 0.80 for ES Setif.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs ES Setif?

El Bayadh 1-0 ES Setif in the Algeria - 1st Division on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs ES Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Bayadh win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 36%, draw 35%, ES Setif 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Bayadh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Bayadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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11 Feb 2025
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