Alvechurch 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.20/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.41
-31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
30.11.2024 Bromsgrove Sporting 0-2 HT 0-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.04.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
21.11.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
14.02.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-0 HT 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
16.08.2022 Bromsgrove Sporting 3-1 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
15.01.2022 Bromsgrove Sporting 0-2 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alvechurch
2-1
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch nicked a narrow win over Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alvechurch as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alvechurch had 48% of the ball to Bromsgrove Sporting's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alvechurch and 0.67 for Bromsgrove Sporting.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Alvechurch 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 42%, draw 24%, Bromsgrove Sporting 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✗ BTTS No
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