Alvechurch 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 40%
+19% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.79/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.43
+19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvechurch
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
21.11.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
14.02.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-0 HT 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
16.08.2022 Bromsgrove Sporting 3-1 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
15.01.2022 Bromsgrove Sporting 0-2 HT 0-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
17.08.2021 Alvechurch Alvechurch 3-0 HT 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch edged past Bromsgrove Sporting 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Alvechurch made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alvechurch had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Alvechurch and 0.80 for Bromsgrove Sporting.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Alvechurch 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 37%, draw 30%, Bromsgrove Sporting 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvechurch) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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