Chertsey Town 1-2 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
58%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-3.5pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
58%
Away Win
53%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 57%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.51/2.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.88
-62% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +28%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
229 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chertsey Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Totton
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
1 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.12.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 3-0 HT 2-0 Chertsey Town Chertsey Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chertsey Town
1-2
AWAY AFC Totton
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton squeezed past Chertsey Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chertsey Town had 32% of the ball to AFC Totton's 68%, shots finished 3-13.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs AFC Totton?

Chertsey Town 1-2 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 21%, draw 21%, AFC Totton 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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