Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
5.99
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
13%
4.52
X/2
12%
7.11
X/X
15%
3.3
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
6.27
2/X
5%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.29/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.54
-1% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 67%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.8 Crosses 13.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.97 xG 0.44
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
398 Passes 159
76% Pass Accuracy 56%
27 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
31.03.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
0.85 xG 0.97
75% Ball Possession 25%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
460 Passes 82
82% Pass Accuracy 43%
22 Box Touches 8
45 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata and Deportivo Riestra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 75% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 25%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.85 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 0.50 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Deportivo Riestra?

Gimnasia La Plata 1-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 37%, draw 29%, Deportivo Riestra 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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