Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

Independiente Rivadavia
2-0 HT 1-0
Union Santa Fe
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.88
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
6.36
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
16%
5.07
X/2
9%
5.5
X/X
16%
3.29
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.59
2/X
7%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Rivadavia v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.15/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.30
-10% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.5 Crosses 19.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.54 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 290
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.06.2024 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
25.02.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 4-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
09.11.2014 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJPBN
13.09.2014 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
25.05.2014 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN

Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
2-0
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.19 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
249 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 35
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia got the better of Union Santa Fe 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Independiente Rivadavia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 43% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 57%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 1.19 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.80 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?

Independiente Rivadavia 2-0 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 39%, draw 30%, Union Santa Fe 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
11 Mar 2025
01:00 Gimnasia La Plata vs Deportivo Riestra Analysis →
03:15 Talleres Cordoba vs Rosario Central Analysis →