Orense 2-1 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 11 Mar 2025

Orense
2-1 HT 1-0
Tecnico Universitario
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Orense vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orense v Tecnico Universitario — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.23/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.12
-21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.8 Crosses 16.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Orense vs Tecnico Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.89 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 210
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Orense Orense 0-2 HT 0-2 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
21.05.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
07.10.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-1 HT 2-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.05.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
30.08.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
16.04.2022 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1

Orense 2-1 Tecnico Universitario — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
2-1
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.86 xG 0.84
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
348 Passes 132
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Orense vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense squeezed past Tecnico Universitario 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Orense found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Orense had 69% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 31%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.86 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orense and 1.33 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Orense vs Tecnico Universitario?

Orense 2-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Orense 39%, draw 28%, Tecnico Universitario 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orense) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orense) ✗ Under 2.5
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