Ethiopian Insurance 2-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.7pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.97/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.33
-10% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2024 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
06.07.2024 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
2-1
AWAY Ethiopia Nigd Bank
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance edged past Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ethiopian Insurance found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 39% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 61%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ethiopia Nigd Bank led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ethiopian Insurance and 1.50 for Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Ethiopian Insurance 2-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 33%, draw 34%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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