Afan Lido 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.53
No
36%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-7.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+7.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
+2.7pp
36%
BTTS No
39%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.68/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.56
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
26.07.2024 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 3-2 HT 3-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
20.09.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALLK
03.12.2021 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 8-1 HT 2-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
19.11.2021 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-2 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido saw off Pontypridd Town AFC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Afan Lido found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Afan Lido and 3.25 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Afan Lido 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 35%, draw 26%, Pontypridd Town AFC 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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