Pontypridd Town AFC 3-2 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.28/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.72
+1% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontypridd Town AFC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Afan Lido
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.09.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-0 HT 0-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALLK
03.12.2021 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 8-1 HT 2-1 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
19.11.2021 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-2 HT 0-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALFAW
POST-MATCH Pontypridd Town AFC vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC nicked a narrow win over Afan Lido 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontypridd Town AFC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Afan Lido led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Pontypridd Town AFC and 2.00 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Pontypridd Town AFC vs Afan Lido?

Pontypridd Town AFC 3-2 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontypridd Town AFC vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontypridd Town AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pontypridd Town AFC 53%, draw 22%, Afan Lido 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontypridd Town AFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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