Newport City 3-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.89
Over 2.5
66%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
25%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
31%
+3.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
69%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City got the better of Ammanford 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ammanford at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Ammanford?

Newport City 3-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newport City 27%, draw 22%, Ammanford 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ammanford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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