Taffs Well 1-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.48
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
57%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.5pp
57%
Away Win
60%
-3.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.04/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.73/0.95
-23% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +21%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 501 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Llanelli Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.02.2024 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 3-1 HT 2-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
06.10.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
02.01.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-2 HT 1-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
27.12.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 4-0 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
11.02.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-1 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
22.10.2021 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taffs Well and Llanelli Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Llanelli Town carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Taffs Well and 2.00 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Llanelli Town?

Taffs Well 1-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 22%, draw 21%, Llanelli Town 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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