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Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trefelin v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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2-0
HT 1-0
Trefelin
GALFAW
Trefelin edged past Caerau (Ely) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Trefelin found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trefelin and 1.67 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely)?
Trefelin 1-0 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 30%, draw 31%, Caerau (Ely) 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.