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Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Trefelin v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Trefelin edged past Caerau (Ely) 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
A gentle 53% lean on Caerau (Ely) didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (77%), both teams to score (70%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Trefelin against 1.67 for Caerau (Ely).
Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) Result & Final Score
Trefelin 1 - 0 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Trefelin vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 25%, draw 22%, Caerau (Ely) 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.