Penrhyncoch 1-0 Llay Miners Welfare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-16.1pp
29%
Draw
19%
+9.6pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Llay Miners Welfare
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.09.2024 Llay Miners Welfare Llay Miners Welfare 1-1 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Llay Miners Welfare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penrhyncoch squeezed past Llay Miners Welfare 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Penrhyncoch as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Penrhyncoch 1-0 Llay Miners Welfare in the Wales - FAW Championship on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Llay Miners Welfare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penrhyncoch win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 50%, draw 29%, Llay Miners Welfare 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penrhyncoch) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penrhyncoch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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