Bengaluru 0-2 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+7.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 51%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.26/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.99
-12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
18.2 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bengaluru
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mumbai City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
256 Passes 340
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-0 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
18.02.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-0 HT 1-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
08.12.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-4 HT 0-2 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
12.03.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-2 HT 1-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
07.03.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
15.02.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 2-1 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bengaluru
0-2
AWAY Mumbai City
0.25 xG 2.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
357 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bengaluru vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City saw off Bengaluru 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bengaluru had 52% of the ball to Mumbai City's 48%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.25 to 2.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bengaluru and 1.50 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of Bengaluru vs Mumbai City?

Bengaluru 0-2 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bengaluru vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bengaluru 32%, draw 27%, Mumbai City 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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