Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.29/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.99
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
325 Passes 270
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 4-0 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
19.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
15.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
06.03.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.08.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
18.03.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
3-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers swept aside Cerro Largo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montevideo Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 54% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 46%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montevideo Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.00 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?

Montevideo Wanderers 3-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 41%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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