KAA Gent II 2-2 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
16%
9.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAA Gent II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 49%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
2.22/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.99
+56% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
18.0 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAA Gent II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lommel United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.93 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
500 Passes 419
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.12.2025 Lommel United Lommel United 2-0 HT 2-0 KAA Gent II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAA Gent II
2-2
AWAY Lommel United
1.11 xG 2.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
392 Passes 426
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 39
5 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KAA Gent II vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAA Gent II and Lommel United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lommel United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, KAA Gent II had 52% of the ball to Lommel United's 48%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 1.11 to 2.64.

What was the final score of KAA Gent II vs Lommel United?

KAA Gent II 2-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAA Gent II vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KAA Gent II 29%, draw 24%, Lommel United 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lommel United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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