Olympic Charleroi 2-4 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2026

Olympic Charleroi
2-4 HT 0-1
RFC Seraing
📅11/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Seraing Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.78
Over 2.5
35%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.87
2-3 Goals
33%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 44% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.9pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olympic Charleroi v RFC Seraing — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 34%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.30/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.59
-69% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
15.0 Crosses 21.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Seraing Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympic Charleroi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.20 xG 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
280 Passes 261
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.08.2025 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 3-1 HT 0-1 Olympic Charleroi Olympic Charleroi BEL2

Olympic Charleroi 2-4 RFC Seraing — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympic Charleroi
2-4
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.90 xG 2.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 1
386 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Seraing beat Olympic Charleroi 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day RFC Seraing made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olympic Charleroi had 54% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 46%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.90 to 2.51.

What was the final score of Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Seraing?

Olympic Charleroi 2-4 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Charleroi vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated an RFC Seraing win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Olympic Charleroi 35%, draw 28%, RFC Seraing 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Seraing) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RFC Seraing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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