RFC Seraing 3-1 Olympic Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 33% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Seraing
3-1
AWAY Olympic Charleroi
1.50 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
261 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Seraing vs Olympic Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Seraing saw off Olympic Charleroi 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; RFC Seraing found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, RFC Seraing had 49% of the ball to Olympic Charleroi's 51%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.50 to 1.20.

What was the final score of RFC Seraing vs Olympic Charleroi?

RFC Seraing 3-1 Olympic Charleroi in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Seraing vs Olympic Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a RFC Seraing win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split RFC Seraing 39%, draw 26%, Olympic Charleroi 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RFC Seraing), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RFC Seraing) ✓ BTTS Yes
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