Lommel United 3-1 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.87
-5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.0 Crosses 21.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.02
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
533 Passes 232
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 19
32 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 1-0 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
29.11.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
3-1
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
3.19 xG 0.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
423 Passes 242
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United beat Lokeren-Temse 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lommel United had 60% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 40%, shots finished 26-10, expected goals 3.19 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lokeren-Temse led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lommel United and 1.00 for Lokeren-Temse.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Lokeren-Temse?

Lommel United 3-1 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 47%, draw 25%, Lokeren-Temse 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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