Lokeren-Temse 1-0 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 32% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 31%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.03/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.43
-35% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
24.3 Crosses 14.4
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokeren-Temse
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lommel United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.65
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
197 Passes 664
71% Pass Accuracy 90%
27 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokeren-Temse
1-0
AWAY Lommel United
1.16 xG 1.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
268 Passes 402
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokeren-Temse vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokeren-Temse edged past Lommel United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Lokeren-Temse made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lokeren-Temse had 41% of the ball to Lommel United's 59%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.16 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Lokeren-Temse vs Lommel United?

Lokeren-Temse 1-0 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokeren-Temse vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokeren-Temse win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokeren-Temse 39%, draw 26%, Lommel United 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokeren-Temse), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokeren-Temse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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