RFC Liege 2-2 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
30%
3.19
6+ Goals
7%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.68/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.06
-12% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +78%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
21.7 Crosses 21.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.80 xG 0.70
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
299 Passes 193
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-0 HT 1-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
12.01.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 1-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
07.10.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 0-2 HT 0-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
2-2
AWAY Patro Eisden
2.24 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
264 Passes 286
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege and Patro Eisden couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Patro Eisden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, RFC Liege had 48% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 52%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.24 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, RFC Liege had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RFC Liege and 0.67 for Patro Eisden.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden?

RFC Liege 2-2 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 33%, draw 22%, Patro Eisden 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Patro Eisden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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