Beerschot VA 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2025

Beerschot VA
1-0 HT 1-0
Lierse Kempenzonen
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Belgium - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Beerschot VA vs Lierse Kempenzonen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Beerschot VA v Lierse Kempenzonen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.31/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.36
-27% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.2 Crosses 17.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Beerschot VA vs Lierse Kempenzonen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.64 xG 1.18
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
418 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
24.09.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-3 HT 0-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
05.03.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
04.02.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
28.08.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2

Beerschot VA 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beerschot VA
1-0
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.37 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
242 Passes 213
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA squeezed past Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beerschot VA as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Beerschot VA had 50% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 50%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.37 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Beerschot VA had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Beerschot VA and 1.20 for Lierse Kempenzonen.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Beerschot VA 1-0 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 61%, draw 19%, Lierse Kempenzonen 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beerschot VA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
30 Aug 2025
21:00 RFC Seraing vs Olympic Charleroi Analysis →
21:00 Lommel United vs Lokeren-Temse Analysis →
21:00 RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden Analysis →
21:00 AS Eupen vs RSC Anderlecht II Analysis →